Archives for the month of: October, 2002

halloween_doggies.jpg
Happy Halloween!
(thanks to Alex for the image)

One of the positive signs I’ve seen recently is the work that Joi Ito is doing via the World Economic Forum for “Blueprint For Japan 2020.” I’m encouraged because I think that Joi will be a positive voice for the future of Japan. Plus, my relative, Taro Kono, is also involved.

NY Times – At a Military Museum, the Losers Write History
“The official postwar pacifism that reigns today is tied to an understanding of a stupid, feckless militarism, which ended in hellfire and defeat,” said Louise Young, author of “Japan’s Total Empire, Manchuria and the Culture of Wartime Imperialism” and associate professor of history at New York University. “The museum is offering a totally unreconstructed regurgitation of pre-1945 justifications of its past; a return to fascist mytho-history.”
This kind of thing is the worst kind of nationalism.
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NY Times – Grim Figures Cast a Shadow on Japan’s Bank-Debt Plan
“We’re clearly preparing for another slowdown,” said Ryo Hino, an economist at J. P. Morgan Securities. “The signs are already here. But the government’s economic package is really designed just to catch what falls after they shake up the banks. It’s damage control.”

(more…)

Open Spectrum, the idea that new technology and software can allow for a much broader use of the current airwaves, is a rising tech meme.
USA Today – Powell takes path to free up airwaves
Seattle Times – Open-spectrum advocates say it will boost technology
The core of this idea [that is open spectrum] is the belief that, if the rules are tweaked the right way, technology companies in the next five years will have brought to market the equipment that will make the notion of electromagnetic-spectrum scarcity, a fundamental issue of telecom economics, seem quaint.
Equipment makers would create devices that would intelligently navigate through the congested airwaves Û the so-called spectrum Û to avoid virtual traffic jams and allow everyone from broadcasters to kids with handheld devices to use the spectrum. Consumers and tinkerers could come up with their own ideas for new applications that would run on these devices, much as they have on the Internet. In turn, the growing number of applications and tools would drive equipment demand, fostering growth of this wireless version of the Internet.

This one is a great overview.

From Japan Digest: University Disputes Government’s Rosy Claim That Birthrate Will Rise
Japan’s birthrate is likely to keep falling for the foreseeable future, reaching 1.24 children per woman per lifetime by 2017, the Nihon University Population Research Institute said. The prediction directly contradicts current government assumptions, on which many economic decisions are being made. The country’s birthrate has fallen steadily since the early 1970s, and hit a record low at 1.33 in 2001, as women are marrying later and having fewer babies when they do. Though the accelerating trend forced the government to lower its population projections earlier this year, it is still predicting that the birthrate will bottom out at 1.31 in 2001, and start rising, to 1.38 by 2025. The Nihon University researchers begged to differ, saying the realities of life in modern Japan point to further delays in marriage and a continuing fall in birthrates. Chief reason for the continuing trend is a shrinkage of the income gap between men and women, the institute said. Women hesitate to give up their high-paying jobs to stay home with children. The institute said it thinks that’s the major reason for a decline in birthrates that began in the 1980s and accelerated sharply in the 1990s. It said the trend will become more pronounced in the coming decade, causing still more women to postpone marriage and babies. If it’s right, the government will have to raise employee pension premiums to about 31% of monthly pay, split between employer and employee, by 2025, rather than 28% it now plans to charge then, to maintain current levels of pension payments, Nihon Keizai said.
Japanese companies are going to have to quickly integrate more support for working mothers if the nation hopes to stem the falling birthrate. If it is money concerns that are leading women to have fewer babies later in life, then it’s clear that Japanese business must intervene IF they care about having Japanese people to work in the companies in the future.